>>23020871

>I disagree with the basic assumptions of logic

I think I found your problem.

This is a math problem. You are not entitled to your opinion. You are either right or wrong, and you happen to be wrong. If you can't understand the math involved, you can very simply test it.

Take three playing cards, a queen and two deuces. Shuffle them, then place them face down on the table. Say "I will pick one, remove a deuce, and then switch." Pick a card by placing your left hand on it. Look at one of the cards you didn't pick. If it's a deuce, remove it. If it's not, look at the other one (it will be a deuce) and remove that one. Then place your hand on the remaining card.

Do this sixty times. I'm not being hypothetical here, actually do it. I predict you will wind up with your hand on the queen well more than half the time, closer to two thirds, because that's what the math says. But if you don't trust or understand the math, don't argue about it, test it. Put up or shut up.